Oil edges up awaiting Greece election result

Oil price: Waiting on Greek election results

AP/Scanpix

By News wires

15 June 2012 20:54 GMT

Oil prices edged up on Friday, in thin and choppy trade, supported by hopes Greece’s upcoming election will not result in an exit from the euro zone, while weak US economic data limited gains.

Both Brent and US crude posted weekly losses, though the US slip was only $0.07, Reuters reported.

Friday’s gains were hemmed in by separate reports showing US manufacturing output contracted in May, while factory activity slowed in New York state in June and US consumer sentiment fell.

The weak data raised the possibility that the US Federal Reserve might use more monetary easing to help a sputtering economic recovery. The Fed’s policy-making committee has a two-day meeting starting Tuesday.

A weaker dollar, after the euro recovered from early losses against the US currency, also lent some support to oil, along with gains on Wall Street.

US stock indexes and oil also received support from news on Thursday that officials from the G20 nations, whose leaders meet in Mexico next week, said central banks were ready to take steps to stabilize financial markets by providing liquidity if needed in the wake of Greece’s election.

“We are waiting for the Greek elections. If there is a conclusive result for a government that wants reform, then there will be a return of risk appetite and oil will resume the upstream trend,” Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity market strategy at BNP Paribas, told the news wire.

Brent August crude rose $0.44 to settle at $97.61 per barrel, having swung from $96.97 to 98.10.

Front-month Brent ended six straight lower settlements, but posted a weekly loss of 1.87%. Brent’s July contract expired on Thursday.

US July crude edged up $0.12 to settle at $84.03 per barrel, ending with a weekly loss of $0.07.

“At this point, it looks like the markets are frozen and waiting for the results of the Greek elections, which are totally unpredictable,” said Dominick Chirichella, senior partner at Energy Management Institute in New York.

Total crude trading volumes were thin. Brent turnover lagged its 30-day average by 39% and US crude volume trailed that market by 25%.

US gasoline and heating oil posted more robust gains than either crude oil contract.

Money managers cut their net long US crude futures and options positions in the week to 12 June, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission reported on Friday.

Along with Greece’s political turmoil, Iran’s talks with major powers about Tehran’s nuclear program set to start Monday in Moscow kept traders and brokers cautious, with recently revived talks so far unable to resolve the dispute.

Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will reduce the group’s output to adhere to its 30 million barrels per day output ceiling and the effects should be seen in July, OPEC Secretary-General Abdullah al-Badri told a news briefing.

Analysts remain skeptical after OPEC’s Thursday meeting that such a reduction, which would be mostly on Saudi Arabia’s side, will actually occur.

Actual OPEC production is higher at 31.6 million bpd owing to Saudi Arabia’s extra production.

Raising output was a deliberate move by Riyadh to counter the possibility that Iranian oil shipments will fall heavily when a European Union embargo on Tehran starts next month.